Nikos Arvanites/ George Protopapas
The Turkish Islamic Justice and Development Party (AKP) reclaimed a landscape victory in elections which is also characterized as an impressive personal victory for Turkish president Tayyip Erdogan. The result of Turkish elections provoked negative reactions from Greek-speaking online public opinion. The President Erdogan obtained the parliamentary majority to change the constitution in order to achieve an executive presidency.
Tayyip Erdogan and Turkish Elections have overall 1.922 mentions in Greek-speaking internet according to the tool paloPro for the monitoring period 22 October – 1 November 2015. The ajority of mentions with regards Tayyip Erdogan for the specific monitoring period delivered mainly from Sites 495 mentions, followed by Blogs 227, Facebook 79, Twitter 67 and Opinions 8. The majority of mentions with regards Turkish elections delivered mainly from Sites 504 mentions, followed by Blogs 242, Twitter 220, Facebook 82, and Opinion 8.
The sentiments of the mentions are mainly negative for Erdogan and Turkish Elections. The tool paloPro displays that Tayyip Erdogan has 667 negative sentiments, followed by neutrals 143 and 66 positive. The picture for Turkish Elections is also identical as they have 564 negative sentiments, 303 neutral and 189 positive.
Main Topics / Key insights
The main topics for Erdogan and Turkish Elections focused on the polarized pre- elections period, army conflicts with Kurdish PKK fighters and analysis for the next day of elections. Particularly the main topics according to Top 10 Topics of paloPro were:
• Tayyip Erdogan description as “new Sultan”, based on authoritarian policies and election’s result.
• The invasion of Turkish police in two TV Stations which support the opposition.
• The open letter from top media organizations to Tayyip Erdogan for the violation of press freedom
• The Teenager who arrested for ‘insulting’ Erdogan.
• Turkish authorities prosecute two kids for ripping down posters of Erdogan.
• The EU report on Turkey highlights problems in rule of law and press freedoms.
The conclusion of the analysis of qualitative data of paloPro from Greek- speaking internet reveals:
(a) Greek online public opinion appeared pessimistic about the outcome of the Turkish elections.
(b) Greek online public opinion becomes more pessimistic after the victory of Justice and Development Party (AKP) and express significant concerns for the post- election period.
(c) Tayyip Erdogan’s authoritarian behavior gradually increased the negative sentiments for him
(d) Greek online public opinion seems to be convinced that Turkey follows the path of instability.
(e) The conflicts of the Turkish army and Kurdish fighters also increased the percentage of negative sentiments for Turkish Elections and President Erdogan.
(f) Greek online public opinion also combined the outcome of Turkish Elections with European Union migration policy. It fears that a more powerful Erdogan will ask from Brussels rewards in order to reduce the flows of refugees from Syria to Europe at expense of Hellenic national interests.
To sum up the Greek online public opinion doubt that the landscape victory of the Islamic AKP can appease the political and ethnic tensions. It believes that the election’s result will provoke reactions and characterized Erdogan’s victory as “Pyrrhic victory”.*
*A victory that inflicts such a devastating toll on the victor that it is tantamount to defeat. Someone who wins a Pyrrhic victory has been victorious in some way. However, the heavy toll negates any sense of achievement or profit).